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Robot manufacturing loops

Does exact queueing analysis predict a robot-printer cell's throughput better than a utilisation bound?

research/robofab-cell-mva

Exact mean value analysis of the arm, printers and inspection network against a discrete-event twin: a few per cent off for exponential times, up to 11% low for less variable ones, better than the utilisation bound in most real-semantics rows, and it overshoots saturation at high work in process. Stylised.

8 tests

What it found

Mean value analysis of a closed arm, printers and inspection network, checked against a hand-written discrete-event simulation that adds one departure from product form at a time (illustrative times, 20 seeds). The code matches the exact Markov-chain solution on small networks. With exponential times MVA is within −6% to +4% of simulation; with less variable times it is up to 11% low. With printers held while waiting for the arm, MVA beats the utilisation bound at 4, 8 and 12 printers but not at 16, and it overshoots the saturation plateau at high work in process (9.8 against 8.6 parts/h at 8 printers). Stylised, simulation-only; no physical cell.

A figure from its own output

Figure produced by research/robofab-cell-mva: mva_vs_sim
robofab-cell-mva/experiments/mva_vs_sim.png, written by the project's own experiment code.

Paper, code and results

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Other research topics

Proper scoring & elicitation28Effort & peer prediction9Verification games & slashing19Detection & tolerances14Markets as routers13Prediction-market design9Paying contributors8Decentralised training systems23Digital twins & sim-to-real164LLM chip design loops40Robot manufacturing loops53Ambient AI assistant46Self-replicating manufacturing34Simulation-first design64Engineered clothing45Task-specific AI accelerators40Algorithmic chip-design loops42Open-source purpose-built robots44The software-engineering loop43Adversarial human imitation41Open-source residential construction41Autonomous multi-angle capture34Sensing, imaging and 3D31Energy supply and dense energy storage39Robot societies among people31Agentic co-design of low-cost robots27Laundry-hanging robots25Machine learning on qualitative data23Robots on the building site27Civilizations & group psychology1History & human sciences1

Produced with AI assistance (Claude). Results are from the code in this repository and are simulated or stylised unless the abstract says otherwise; nothing here implies affiliation with or endorsement by any lab, researcher or company cited. MIT licensed.