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Ambient AI assistant

Does a doubly robust estimator fix learning from an assistant’s own self-selected feedback?

research/ambient-dr

Does a doubly robust estimator beat IPS on an assistant's self-selected feedback: no, a stylised negative result; its pseudo-labels carry 1/ε residuals and are worse than the biased fit except with an informed prior.

5 tests

What it found

A stylised follow-up to ambient-labelmatch. Doubly robust pseudo-labels (an outcome model plus an inverse-propensity correction on the windows where the assistant spoke) are fitted on every window and compared with biased, IPS, clipped and self-normalised fits on the same logged history. A negative result: with an uninformed prior all three variants are far worse than the biased fit (utility per hour below −15 against 12.71 for the oracle) and have huge variance, and with an informed prior they are level with or above the biased fit at they match the biased fit at ε = 0.005 and 0.02 butepsilon; = 0.005 and 0.02 but are not better than clipped IPS. Simulated windows chosen by me; nothing is claimed about real users.

A figure from its own output

Figure produced by research/ambient-dr: dr_fits
ambient-dr/experiments/dr_fits.svg, written by the project's own experiment code.

Paper, code and results

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Other research topics

Proper scoring & elicitation28Effort & peer prediction9Verification games & slashing19Detection & tolerances14Markets as routers13Prediction-market design9Paying contributors8Decentralised training systems23Digital twins & sim-to-real164LLM chip design loops40Robot manufacturing loops53Ambient AI assistant46Self-replicating manufacturing34Simulation-first design64Engineered clothing45Task-specific AI accelerators40Algorithmic chip-design loops42Open-source purpose-built robots44The software-engineering loop43Adversarial human imitation41Open-source residential construction41Autonomous multi-angle capture34Sensing, imaging and 3D31Energy supply and dense energy storage39Robot societies among people31Agentic co-design of low-cost robots27Laundry-hanging robots25Machine learning on qualitative data23Robots on the building site27Civilizations & group psychology1History & human sciences1

Produced with AI assistance (Claude). Results are from the code in this repository and are simulated or stylised unless the abstract says otherwise; nothing here implies affiliation with or endorsement by any lab, researcher or company cited. MIT licensed.