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Robot societies among people

Can a robot that yields to people in a hurry survive people faking a hurry?

research/society-fakeurgency

Can a robot that yields to people in a hurry survive people faking a hurry? With 30% robots, no signal cost on a 0 to 1.2 grid lets a signal-reading fleet beat yield-all for the crowd, and urgent people keep about 6% of the gain they get from perfect reading.

7 tests

What it found

The urgency-reading door of society-urgentdoor, but robots see only a costly signal that can be faked and misread. With 30% robots, 20% urgent people (waiting cost 3x), collision cost 3 and dithering cost 1, no signal cost on a 0 to 1.2 grid lets the signal-reading fleet beat yield-all for the crowd (best case 1.201 against 1.047); the most it saves urgent people is 0.025 per encounter (1.105 against 1.130), about 6% of the 0.45 gained from perfect reading. A free signal is sent by 95% of normal people; a signal dear enough to stop fakers is dearer than the yielding is worth to the urgent, who stop sending it; a 10% misreading rate removes most of what is left. Mean field, checked by simulation within 0.012 with signalling held fixed. Assumed, not sourced: round-figure costs and logit sharpness (swept), a fixed signal cost, no robot learning, random pairing, no geometry.

A figure from its own output

Figure produced by research/society-fakeurgency: cost_vs_signal
society-fakeurgency/experiments/cost_vs_signal.svg, written by the project's own experiment code.

Paper, code and results

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Proper scoring & elicitation28Effort & peer prediction9Verification games & slashing19Detection & tolerances14Markets as routers13Prediction-market design9Paying contributors8Decentralised training systems23Digital twins & sim-to-real164LLM chip design loops40Robot manufacturing loops53Ambient AI assistant46Self-replicating manufacturing34Simulation-first design64Engineered clothing45Task-specific AI accelerators40Algorithmic chip-design loops42Open-source purpose-built robots44The software-engineering loop43Adversarial human imitation41Open-source residential construction41Autonomous multi-angle capture34Sensing, imaging and 3D31Energy supply and dense energy storage39Robot societies among people31Agentic co-design of low-cost robots27Laundry-hanging robots25Machine learning on qualitative data23Robots on the building site27Civilizations & group psychology1History & human sciences1

Produced with AI assistance (Claude). Results are from the code in this repository and are simulated or stylised unless the abstract says otherwise; nothing here implies affiliation with or endorsement by any lab, researcher or company cited. MIT licensed.