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Robot manufacturing loops

Does an arm-wait-aware printer demand fix queueing analysis of a robot-printer cell?

research/robofab-cell-stall

Does adding the arm's queueing delay (a fixed point, no fitted parameter) to the held printer's demand fix MVA of the robot-printer cell? No: it underpredicts in all 32 settings and is worse overall (7.9% mean error against 6.2% for held-demand and 4.7% for plain MVA). Negative result. Stylised.

5 tests

What it found

A follow-up to the held-printer project: the printer’s demand is increased by the arm’s queueing delay, found as a fixed point from the arm’s own queue with no fitted parameter. Against the simulated cell (cv 0.3 and 1.0, 4–16 printers, four loads, 20 seeds, 32 settings; illustrative times) it underpredicts throughput in every setting and is worse overall: mean absolute error 7.9%, against 6.2% for held-demand MVA and 4.7% for plain MVA. At saturation it ties held demand (3.1% against 2.9%) but on the other 24 settings it is worse (9.5% against 7.3%). A negative result: a demand-side patch to product-form MVA is the wrong tool here. Stylised and simulation-only.

A figure from its own output

Figure produced by research/robofab-cell-stall: error
robofab-cell-stall/experiments/error.png, written by the project's own experiment code.

Paper, code and results

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Proper scoring & elicitation28Effort & peer prediction9Verification games & slashing19Detection & tolerances14Markets as routers13Prediction-market design9Paying contributors8Decentralised training systems23Digital twins & sim-to-real164LLM chip design loops40Robot manufacturing loops53Ambient AI assistant46Self-replicating manufacturing34Simulation-first design64Engineered clothing45Task-specific AI accelerators40Algorithmic chip-design loops42Open-source purpose-built robots44The software-engineering loop43Adversarial human imitation41Open-source residential construction41Autonomous multi-angle capture34Sensing, imaging and 3D31Energy supply and dense energy storage39Robot societies among people31Agentic co-design of low-cost robots27Laundry-hanging robots25Machine learning on qualitative data23Robots on the building site27Civilizations & group psychology1History & human sciences1

Produced with AI assistance (Claude). Results are from the code in this repository and are simulated or stylised unless the abstract says otherwise; nothing here implies affiliation with or endorsement by any lab, researcher or company cited. MIT licensed.