How much CO2 does clinker substitution save, and how far can it go before a cement loses its strength class?
research/infra-cement
Mass, energy and CO2 balance of a tonne of cement: OPC 830 kg CO2, LC3-50 491 (41% lower, 39-43% over every swept input), 50% slag 441; the clinker can fall to 50% and keep class 42.5 only if the OPC reference has 55 MPa of strength, to 54% at 50 MPa.
What it found
Calcination CO2 is computed from molar masses (784.8 kg per tonne CaO, 510 per tonne clinker at 65 % CaO), kiln fuel from 3.4 GJ/t clinker and IPCC factors, and seven blends (OPC, limestone, two slag, three limestone calcined clay) are balanced per tonne of cement: OPC 830 kg CO2, LC3-50 491 (−41 %), slag-50 441 (−47 %). The LC3 saving stays within 39 to 43 % as calcined-clay energy, grid carbon, grinding energy, kiln heat and fuel carbon are swept; slag’s depends on how blast-furnace CO2 is allocated (41 to 50 %). Against one study’s 28-day LC3 strengths relative to CEM I, the lowest clinker content that keeps EN 197-1 class 42.5 is 50 % from a 55 MPa OPC reference, 54 % from 50 and 68 % from 45. Not sourced from primary papers (blocked): the strength table (a search summary of one study, which another study contradicts at 50 %), the kiln heat and CaO share (secondary reports), IPCC factors (from memory); assumed and swept: grinding energy, grid carbon, calciner energy. Slag strength is not modelled.
A figure from its own output
Paper, code and results
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Produced with AI assistance (Claude). Results are from the code in this repository and are simulated or stylised unless the abstract says otherwise; nothing here implies affiliation with or endorsement by any lab, researcher or company cited. MIT licensed.