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Engineered clothing

Where does a designer coat's price go, and what does a $20 to $50 replica keep?

research/garment-teardown

Bottom-up cost model for a lined coat applied to two reported designer prices: modelled factory cost is under 15% of price, the assumed markup chain does not close the gap, and a $20–50 replica needs very cheap cloth and labour. All inputs assumed. Stylised.

7 tests

What it found

A bottom-up cost model for a lined woven coat (fabric from pattern area and marker efficiency, trims, sewing minutes times wage, overhead, brand and retail multipliers) applied to two reported designer prices. Under assumed inputs the factory cost is $186–248 for a $2,850 trench and $469–551 for a $3,850 coat, under 15% of the price in every wage scenario, and the assumed multipliers do not close the gap. A cheap-cloth replica costs $46–100 to make; only a very lean case reaches $29–34. Stylised: every cost input is assumed, prices are from search snippets, and fit and durability are not scored.

A figure from its own output

Figure produced by research/garment-teardown: fob_by_wage
garment-teardown/experiments/fob_by_wage.svg, written by the project's own experiment code.

Paper, code and results

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Proper scoring & elicitation28Effort & peer prediction9Verification games & slashing19Detection & tolerances14Markets as routers13Prediction-market design9Paying contributors8Decentralised training systems23Digital twins & sim-to-real164LLM chip design loops40Robot manufacturing loops53Ambient AI assistant46Self-replicating manufacturing34Simulation-first design64Engineered clothing45Task-specific AI accelerators40Algorithmic chip-design loops42Open-source purpose-built robots44The software-engineering loop43Adversarial human imitation41Open-source residential construction41Autonomous multi-angle capture34Sensing, imaging and 3D31Energy supply and dense energy storage39Robot societies among people31Agentic co-design of low-cost robots27Laundry-hanging robots25Machine learning on qualitative data23Robots on the building site27Civilizations & group psychology1History & human sciences1

Produced with AI assistance (Claude). Results are from the code in this repository and are simulated or stylised unless the abstract says otherwise; nothing here implies affiliation with or endorsement by any lab, researcher or company cited. MIT licensed.