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Agentic co-design of low-cost robots

Do the codesign-agri conclusions survive when its assumed constants change?

research/codesign-agri-sweep

Does the optimiser ranking of codesign-agri survive a sweep of its 12 invented constants? Mostly: Bayesian optimisation beats CMA-ES beats random search in 82 of 100 worlds, but the best gripper has 2, 3 or 4 fingers depending on stem strength and the nominal winner loses 0.06 J or goes over budget in most worlds

4 tests

What it found

Re-runs the codesign-agri soft-fruit gripper model in 100 Latin-hypercube worlds that move its 12 assumed constants (fruit size, bruise threshold, stem force, placement error, wetness, friction, collision length, prices, bruised-fruit value) by factors of about two, with the original optimisers at 40 evaluations and 8 seeds. Median regret to a per-world reference optimum is 0.013 for Bayesian optimisation, 0.060 for CMA-ES and 0.093 for random search; the original order holds in 82 worlds and Bayesian optimisation loses to random search in 4, where a flat landscape leaves some seeds on designs that pick nothing. The reference optimum has 2, 3 or 4 fingers in 42, 21 and 37 worlds (Spearman +0.74 with stem strength), and the nominal winner is over the cost cap in 37 worlds and, in the other 63, 0.056 J short at the median. The sweep ranges are my choices, not sourced; no gripper was printed.

A figure from its own output

Figure produced by research/codesign-agri-sweep: sweep
codesign-agri-sweep/experiments/sweep.png, written by the project's own experiment code.

Paper, code and results

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Proper scoring & elicitation28Effort & peer prediction9Verification games & slashing19Detection & tolerances14Markets as routers13Prediction-market design9Paying contributors8Decentralised training systems23Digital twins & sim-to-real164LLM chip design loops40Robot manufacturing loops53Ambient AI assistant46Self-replicating manufacturing34Simulation-first design64Engineered clothing45Task-specific AI accelerators40Algorithmic chip-design loops42Open-source purpose-built robots44The software-engineering loop43Adversarial human imitation41Open-source residential construction41Autonomous multi-angle capture34Sensing, imaging and 3D31Energy supply and dense energy storage39Robot societies among people31Agentic co-design of low-cost robots27Laundry-hanging robots25Machine learning on qualitative data23Robots on the building site27Civilizations & group psychology1History & human sciences1

Produced with AI assistance (Claude). Results are from the code in this repository and are simulated or stylised unless the abstract says otherwise; nothing here implies affiliation with or endorsement by any lab, researcher or company cited. MIT licensed.