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Do the mass-weighting machine-choice flips of simdesign-coverweight survive across seeds?

research/simdesign-flipseeds

Do the mass-weighting machine-choice flips of simdesign-coverweight survive across seeds? Over 20 seeds, log flips from the laser cutter (count) to the casting setup (mass) in 20/20 at budgets 600–800, large only at 800, small never; the 1100–1400 flips are near-ties (≤0.26 points). Stylised, assumed rules and prices, simulated only.

5 tests

What it found

Follow-up to simdesign-coverweight, whose machine-choice flips between count and mass weighting came from one seed. Over 20 fresh seeds of 20 000 sampled brackets and three assumed machines, family log picks the laser cutter by count but the casting setup (or, in 2 seeds at 800, the CNC router) by mass in 20 of 20 seeds at budgets 600 to 800 (95% Wilson interval 0.84 to 1.00; about 2.1 points of mass-weighted coverage given up), family large flips only at budget 800 (20 of 20), and small never flips. The log flips at 1100 and 1400 split 10 of 20 but lose at most 0.26 points, a near-tie. The intervals cover sampling noise only; rules, prices and the volume mass proxy are assumptions. Stylised; simulated only.

A figure from its own output

Figure produced by research/simdesign-flipseeds: flips
simdesign-flipseeds/experiments/flips.svg, written by the project's own experiment code.

Paper, code and results

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Produced with AI assistance (Claude). Results are from the code in this repository and are simulated or stylised unless the abstract says otherwise; nothing here implies affiliation with or endorsement by any lab, researcher or company cited. MIT licensed.