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Simulation-first design

Which imported part should a printer-replicating shop learn to make first?

research/selfrep-learnfirst

Which imported printer part to learn to make first (stylised, assumed inputs): by mass or cost the NEMA17 motor (+22 and +26 points of closure, first in 90% and 76% of draws with masses and costs scaled 0.5x to 2x), by unit count the M8 nut; by lines every vitamin ties.

7 tests

What it found

A stylised, preliminary ranking of the 29 parts the printer + router + laser shop of selfrep-closure still imports, by the closure gained if that one part became makeable (free and certain, so an upper bound). By mass or cost the NEMA17 stepper motor is first (+22 and +26 points) and stays first in 90% and 76% of 2,000 draws with every assumed mass and cost scaled 0.5× to 2×; by unit count the M8 nut leads, and by distinct lines every vitamin ties. Three lines buy +52 points of cost closure but +39 of mass. Masses, costs and makers are assumed; difficulty of learning is not modelled.

A figure from its own output

Figure produced by research/selfrep-learnfirst: learn_curve
selfrep-learnfirst/experiments/learn_curve.svg, written by the project's own experiment code.

Paper, code and results

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Proper scoring & elicitation28Effort & peer prediction9Verification games & slashing19Detection & tolerances14Markets as routers13Prediction-market design9Paying contributors8Decentralised training systems23Digital twins & sim-to-real164LLM chip design loops40Robot manufacturing loops53Ambient AI assistant46Self-replicating manufacturing34Simulation-first design64Engineered clothing45Task-specific AI accelerators40Algorithmic chip-design loops42Open-source purpose-built robots44The software-engineering loop43Adversarial human imitation41Open-source residential construction41Autonomous multi-angle capture34Sensing, imaging and 3D31Energy supply and dense energy storage39Robot societies among people31Agentic co-design of low-cost robots27Laundry-hanging robots25Machine learning on qualitative data23Robots on the building site27Civilizations & group psychology1History & human sciences1

Produced with AI assistance (Claude). Results are from the code in this repository and are simulated or stylised unless the abstract says otherwise; nothing here implies affiliation with or endorsement by any lab, researcher or company cited. MIT licensed.