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Adversarial human imitation

On a swing-up task where friction matters, does a digital twin's detectability predict what tuning on it costs?

research/mimic-twinswing

On a swing-up task where friction matters, does a twin's detectability predict what tuning on it costs? Stylised pendulum: only the two gravity-error twins cost much (3.7% and 8.3% extra real cost); 13 others cost under 0.3% at C2ST AUROC 0.51 to 1.0. Preliminary, simulated only.

9 tests

What it found

Follow-up to mimic-twinregret on the same stylised pendulum, now with a torque limit below gravity so the controller must pump energy against friction, then catch the top with PD. Controllers are tuned on 15 wrong twins (60-point grid, 12 seeds) and scored on held-out real starts. Only the two gravity-error twins cost much: g/L +20% adds 8.3% to the best real cost and g/L −20% 3.7%; every other twin is under 0.3%, including no sensor noise, no Coulomb friction and doubled viscous friction, at C2ST AUROC up to 1.0. Spearman AUROC vs regret ρ = 0.16 (p = 0.57), paired RMSE vs regret 0.43 (p = 0.11). Stylised, one task, coarse grid; best gain on the grid edge for several twins.

A figure from its own output

Figure produced by research/mimic-twinswing: auroc_vs_regret
mimic-twinswing/experiments/auroc_vs_regret.svg, written by the project's own experiment code.

Paper, code and results

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Proper scoring & elicitation28Effort & peer prediction9Verification games & slashing19Detection & tolerances14Markets as routers13Prediction-market design9Paying contributors8Decentralised training systems23Digital twins & sim-to-real164LLM chip design loops40Robot manufacturing loops53Ambient AI assistant46Self-replicating manufacturing34Simulation-first design64Engineered clothing45Task-specific AI accelerators40Algorithmic chip-design loops42Open-source purpose-built robots44The software-engineering loop43Adversarial human imitation41Open-source residential construction41Autonomous multi-angle capture34Sensing, imaging and 3D31Energy supply and dense energy storage39Robot societies among people31Agentic co-design of low-cost robots27Laundry-hanging robots25Machine learning on qualitative data23Robots on the building site27Civilizations & group psychology1History & human sciences1

Produced with AI assistance (Claude). Results are from the code in this repository and are simulated or stylised unless the abstract says otherwise; nothing here implies affiliation with or endorsement by any lab, researcher or company cited. MIT licensed.