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Does a factory-built shell pay once the interest on the days it saves is counted?

research/house-shellvalue

Does a factory-built shell pay once the interest on the days it saves is counted? Alone it saves 15.5 working days (0.22% of price) and breaks even near a $629,000 house at an assumed $1,500 crane day.

5 tests

What it found

Joins house-offsite's extra cost of panelising the walls ($1,373 at assumed rates) to house-schedule's interest on working days saved, comparing a factory shell with a site-built house ordered on the same day. The shell alone saves 15.5 days (0.22% of price at 8%) when ordered at day 0 and only 6.4 days when ordered at the foundation start with a 25-day lead; it breaks even at a house price of about $629,000 at a $1,500 crane day and pays throughout at $750. Most of house-schedule's 78-day saving is the ordering date, not the shell. Stylised: house prices are parameters and every rate is assumed.

A figure from its own output

Figure produced by research/house-shellvalue: netvalue
house-shellvalue/experiments/netvalue.svg, written by the project's own experiment code.

Paper, code and results

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Produced with AI assistance (Claude). Results are from the code in this repository and are simulated or stylised unless the abstract says otherwise; nothing here implies affiliation with or endorsement by any lab, researcher or company cited. MIT licensed.