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Engineered clothing

Does a tail-risk objective, or a correlated-error model, rescue the angle-stable structural-colour stack?

research/garment-stackcvar

Negative follow-up to garment-stackrobust: a CVaR (worst-quarter) training objective and a correlated rate-drift error model do not rescue the optimised angle-stable stacks; none beats the quarter-wave stack (red, iid error: mean J 14.1 vs best optimised 16.5). CVaR trims Nelder-Mead's 90th-percentile cost (47.1 to 43.1) at the price of the mean. Stylised; no coating measured.

5 tests

What it found

Follow-up to garment-stackrobust. The 8-layer stacks are trained on a CVaR objective (mean of the worst quarter of 8 sampled thickness errors) or on errors with a shared rate-drift component (ρ = 0.5), then cross-evaluated on 200 held-out draws under both error models (5% error, 8 seeds, 3000 evaluations). Negative result: no optimised design beats the plain quarter-wave stack (red, independent error: mean cost 14.1 against 16.5 for the best optimised one). CVaR trims Nelder–Mead's 90th-percentile cost (47.1 to 43.1) while raising its mean, and correlated-error training did worse. Stylised thin-film model; nothing was coated or measured.

A figure from its own output

Figure produced by research/garment-stackcvar: designs
garment-stackcvar/experiments/designs.svg, written by the project's own experiment code.

Paper, code and results

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Proper scoring & elicitation28Effort & peer prediction9Verification games & slashing19Detection & tolerances14Markets as routers13Prediction-market design9Paying contributors8Decentralised training systems23Digital twins & sim-to-real164LLM chip design loops40Robot manufacturing loops53Ambient AI assistant46Self-replicating manufacturing34Simulation-first design64Engineered clothing45Task-specific AI accelerators40Algorithmic chip-design loops42Open-source purpose-built robots44The software-engineering loop43Adversarial human imitation41Open-source residential construction41Autonomous multi-angle capture34Sensing, imaging and 3D31Energy supply and dense energy storage39Robot societies among people31Agentic co-design of low-cost robots27Laundry-hanging robots25Machine learning on qualitative data23Robots on the building site27Civilizations & group psychology1History & human sciences1

Produced with AI assistance (Claude). Results are from the code in this repository and are simulated or stylised unless the abstract says otherwise; nothing here implies affiliation with or endorsement by any lab, researcher or company cited. MIT licensed.