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Laundry-hanging robots

How often may a laundry robot's opening detector aim wrong before blind pinching is faster?

research/hanger-misaim

How often may a laundry robot's opening detector aim wrong before blind pinching is faster? In the stylised hanger-pick model each 10 points of detector error cost about 1 s of look-time budget: 9.2 s per pick when perfect, 4.5 s at 50% wrong, none when always wrong. Stylised.

5 tests

What it found

In the stylised hanger-pick model a wrong aim costs one wasted grasp and then the same regrasp hunt as a blind pinch. The look-time budget of the detector falls almost linearly with its error: 9.2 s per pick when perfect, 6.3 s at 30% wrong, 4.5 s at 50%, about 0 when always wrong (300 paired piles, assumed times). At a 1 s look aiming still wins until about 88% of aims are wrong; at 5 s the limit is 43%, at 9 s 3%, and an 11 s look loses even when perfect. Stylised: every time and probability is an assumed placeholder; error is independent per pick.

A figure from its own output

Figure produced by research/hanger-misaim: breakeven_vs_error
hanger-misaim/experiments/breakeven_vs_error.svg, written by the project's own experiment code.

Paper, code and results

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Proper scoring & elicitation28Effort & peer prediction9Verification games & slashing19Detection & tolerances14Markets as routers13Prediction-market design9Paying contributors8Decentralised training systems23Digital twins & sim-to-real164LLM chip design loops40Robot manufacturing loops53Ambient AI assistant46Self-replicating manufacturing34Simulation-first design64Engineered clothing45Task-specific AI accelerators40Algorithmic chip-design loops42Open-source purpose-built robots44The software-engineering loop43Adversarial human imitation41Open-source residential construction41Autonomous multi-angle capture34Sensing, imaging and 3D31Energy supply and dense energy storage39Robot societies among people31Agentic co-design of low-cost robots27Laundry-hanging robots25Machine learning on qualitative data23Robots on the building site27Civilizations & group psychology1History & human sciences1

Produced with AI assistance (Claude). Results are from the code in this repository and are simulated or stylised unless the abstract says otherwise; nothing here implies affiliation with or endorsement by any lab, researcher or company cited. MIT licensed.